Junior vs At. Nacional analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.5%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.4%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.4%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.8%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.4%
30.1%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.3%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.5%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Junior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2012 |
CUC
1 - 1
JUN
30%
28%
42%
|
78 | 67 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2012 |
JUN
0 - 0
EQU
60%
23%
17%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2012 |
TOL
2 - 2
JUN
50%
26%
24%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2012 |
JUN
4 - 0
HUI
67%
20%
14%
|
77 | 69 | 8 | +1 |
| 30 Sep. 2012 |
MIL
2 - 0
JUN
47%
27%
26%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
At. Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 2012 |
NAC
1 - 0
CHI
59%
22%
19%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2012 |
NAC
0 - 0
EQU
59%
24%
17%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2012 |
CHI
0 - 1
NAC
34%
26%
40%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2012 |
HUI
0 - 0
NAC
22%
25%
54%
|
80 | 68 | 12 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2012 |
NAC
2 - 2
SFE
56%
24%
20%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | 0 |