Junior vs América de Cali analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68%
Win probability
2.17
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.7%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.5%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.5%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
18.9%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
9%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.9%
13.1%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.2%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Junior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2009 |
EQU
1 - 0
JUN
38%
28%
34%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2009 |
JUN
1 - 1
PER
70%
18%
11%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2009 |
IND
1 - 0
JUN
46%
26%
28%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2009 |
JUN
4 - 1
ENV
71%
18%
12%
|
80 | 69 | 11 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2009 |
JUN
2 - 2
QUI
73%
16%
11%
|
80 | 71 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
América de Cali
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2009 |
HUI
2 - 2
AME
45%
26%
29%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2009 |
AME
1 - 1
EQU
49%
26%
25%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2009 |
PER
2 - 0
AME
49%
25%
27%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | -1 |
| 27 Sep. 2009 |
AME
1 - 2
IND
47%
26%
27%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2009 |
ENV
3 - 3
AME
35%
29%
36%
|
75 | 69 | 6 | 0 |