Junior vs América de Cali analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.2%
2-0
6%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.9%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.6%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.4%
33.6%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.9%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.8%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Junior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 1984 |
JUN
0 - 3
SAN
23%
27%
50%
|
70 | 81 | 11 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 1984 |
JUN
1 - 2
FLA
2%
22%
76%
|
70 | 85 | 15 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 1984 |
AME
2 - 0
JUN
60%
20%
20%
|
71 | 75 | 4 | -1 |
| 24 Apr. 1981 |
RIV
3 - 0
JUN
84%
10%
6%
|
72 | 81 | 9 | -1 |
| 22 Apr. 1981 |
CEN
5 - 0
JUN
69%
17%
14%
|
73 | 78 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
América de Cali
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 1984 |
AME
1 - 0
SAN
3%
30%
67%
|
75 | 82 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 1984 |
AME
1 - 1
FLA
33%
26%
41%
|
75 | 85 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 1984 |
AME
2 - 0
JUN
60%
20%
20%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Jul. 1983 |
AME
0 - 0
EST
43%
29%
28%
|
74 | 84 | 10 | +1 |
| 06 Jul. 1983 |
GRE
2 - 1
AME
88%
7%
4%
|
75 | 82 | 7 | -1 |