Junior vs Deportivo Pasto analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.7%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.6%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.7%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.6%
19.7%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.9%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Junior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Dec. 2012 |
JUN
1 - 1
TOL
53%
23%
24%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2012 |
TOL
0 - 1
JUN
52%
25%
23%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2012 |
PAS
1 - 0
JUN
46%
26%
28%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2012 |
JUN
2 - 1
MIL
52%
23%
25%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2012 |
JUN
2 - 0
ONC
45%
25%
31%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Deportivo Pasto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Dec. 2012 |
MIL
1 - 0
PAS
53%
25%
22%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2012 |
PAS
3 - 1
MIL
44%
26%
30%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2012 |
PAS
1 - 0
JUN
46%
26%
28%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2012 |
TOL
3 - 0
PAS
52%
26%
22%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2012 |
PAS
2 - 1
CUC
61%
23%
16%
|
78 | 68 | 10 | 0 |