Copa Nicaragua Quarter-finals
Global 3-3
Junior Managua vs Somotillo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.8%
Win probability
2.14
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4.4%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.4%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
16.1%
1-0
6%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.4%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.8%
25.4%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
14.3%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+25%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Junior Managua
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 2020 |
SMT
1 - 1
JUM
35%
22%
43%
|
27 | 23 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2020 |
JUM
1 - 1
WAL
7%
14%
79%
|
26 | 64 | 38 | +1 |
| 05 Mar. 2020 |
WAL
0 - 1
JUM
83%
12%
5%
|
25 | 64 | 39 | +1 |
| 19 Feb. 2020 |
SAB
0 - 0
JUM
77%
15%
9%
|
24 | 55 | 31 | +1 |
| 13 Feb. 2020 |
JUM
2 - 0
SAB
8%
15%
77%
|
23 | 55 | 32 | +1 |
Matches
Somotillo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 2020 |
SMT
1 - 1
JUM
35%
22%
43%
|
23 | 27 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2020 |
DEP
1 - 1
SMT
79%
14%
8%
|
22 | 55 | 33 | +1 |
| 04 Mar. 2020 |
SMT
1 - 0
DEP
7%
13%
80%
|
21 | 55 | 34 | +1 |
| 19 Feb. 2020 |
RSA
0 - 1
SMT
9%
15%
76%
|
21 | 6 | 15 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2020 |
SMT
2 - 1
RSA
81%
12%
7%
|
21 | 7 | 14 | 0 |