Copa Federacion 1/16
Global 1-4
Jumilla vs AD Mérida analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.7%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
9%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.7%
27.9%
Draw
0-0
9.5%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.9%
39.4%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
11.8%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
22.1%
0-2
7.4%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.4%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
4.3%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Jumilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Nov. 2015 |
SRQ
2 - 1
JUM
68%
19%
13%
|
39 | 51 | 12 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2015 |
JUM
1 - 0
MEL
19%
25%
56%
|
38 | 50 | 12 | +1 |
| 14 Nov. 2015 |
MUR
3 - 0
JUM
70%
19%
11%
|
38 | 62 | 24 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2015 |
JUM
1 - 1
LOR
18%
26%
57%
|
38 | 54 | 16 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2015 |
VIL
0 - 1
JUM
70%
19%
11%
|
37 | 56 | 19 | +1 |
Matches
AD Mérida
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Nov. 2015 |
LIN
1 - 1
MAD
53%
25%
22%
|
45 | 47 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2015 |
MAD
3 - 2
SRQ
30%
26%
44%
|
44 | 52 | 8 | +1 |
| 15 Nov. 2015 |
MEL
2 - 0
MAD
55%
25%
20%
|
45 | 50 | 5 | -1 |
| 08 Nov. 2015 |
MAD
0 - 2
MUR
22%
27%
51%
|
46 | 62 | 16 | -1 |
| 31 Oct. 2015 |
LOR
3 - 1
MAD
62%
22%
16%
|
47 | 54 | 7 | -1 |