Jumilla vs CD Alcalá analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
17%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
2.6%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.8%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
4.1%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
12.2%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
10%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
25.1%
57.9%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
0-1
15.8%
1-2
9%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
-1
26.7%
0-2
12.5%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.9%
0-3
6.6%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
8.7%
0-4
2.6%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.2%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Jumilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2011 |
RJA
2 - 0
JUM
70%
21%
9%
|
26 | 55 | 29 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2011 |
JUM
1 - 3
CAD
11%
21%
68%
|
26 | 62 | 36 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2011 |
ROQ
5 - 1
JUM
80%
14%
6%
|
26 | 53 | 27 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2011 |
JUM
2 - 3
SEV
14%
24%
63%
|
26 | 59 | 33 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2011 |
PUE
1 - 0
JUM
75%
17%
8%
|
27 | 51 | 24 | -1 |
Matches
CD Alcalá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 2011 |
ALC
0 - 1
CFB
32%
28%
40%
|
46 | 49 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2011 |
LOR
1 - 2
ALC
43%
26%
32%
|
46 | 41 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2011 |
ALC
1 - 0
LUC
28%
29%
44%
|
45 | 52 | 7 | +1 |
| 03 Apr. 2011 |
ECI
0 - 1
ALC
62%
22%
16%
|
43 | 50 | 7 | +2 |
| 27 Mar. 2011 |
ALC
1 - 0
SRQ
22%
27%
51%
|
42 | 54 | 12 | +1 |