Jügesheim vs Fernwald analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.1%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.5%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.2%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.2%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.8%
43%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
9%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.6%
0-2
6.9%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.9%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
5.8%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Jügesheim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 2013 |
JUG
0 - 1
BUC
50%
23%
28%
|
28 | 24 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2013 |
KIC
2 - 0
JUG
42%
24%
34%
|
30 | 23 | 7 | -2 |
| 01 Dec. 2012 |
EIN
0 - 1
JUG
42%
24%
34%
|
30 | 23 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2012 |
JUG
1 - 1
HUN
60%
22%
19%
|
30 | 23 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2012 |
URB
0 - 2
JUG
53%
22%
25%
|
28 | 26 | 2 | +2 |
Matches
Fernwald
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 2013 |
EIN
3 - 2
FER
24%
24%
52%
|
35 | 21 | 14 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2012 |
KIC
1 - 1
FER
25%
24%
51%
|
36 | 23 | 13 | -1 |
| 24 Nov. 2012 |
FER
5 - 0
ROT
74%
16%
10%
|
35 | 21 | 14 | +1 |
| 17 Nov. 2012 |
ROT
2 - 2
FER
30%
24%
46%
|
35 | 25 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2012 |
LOH
2 - 6
FER
29%
25%
47%
|
34 | 23 | 11 | +1 |