Júbilo Iwata vs V-Varen Nagasaki analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.7%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.5%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.9%
2-0
12.6%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.2%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.6%
13.6%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.8%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Júbilo Iwata
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 2015 |
TOK
0 - 3
JUB
22%
25%
52%
|
66 | 56 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2015 |
ROA
0 - 2
JUB
27%
26%
47%
|
65 | 58 | 7 | +1 |
| 18 Oct. 2015 |
JUB
3 - 0
CON
66%
21%
14%
|
64 | 57 | 7 | +1 |
| 10 Oct. 2015 |
MIT
1 - 1
JUB
20%
24%
56%
|
64 | 52 | 12 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2015 |
JUB
2 - 2
OMI
44%
26%
30%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
V-Varen Nagasaki
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 2015 |
OMI
2 - 1
VVA
62%
22%
15%
|
59 | 66 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2015 |
VVA
0 - 0
MIT
48%
29%
23%
|
59 | 54 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2015 |
VVA
2 - 1
GIF
49%
28%
23%
|
59 | 51 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2015 |
EHI
0 - 0
VVA
43%
27%
30%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2015 |
VVA
1 - 2
ROA
45%
30%
26%
|
59 | 55 | 4 | 0 |