Júbilo Iwata vs Thespa Gunma analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77%
Win probability
2.39
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
3.2%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.1%
4-0
6.8%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
9%
3-0
11.3%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.1%
2-0
14.2%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.5%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.9%
15.3%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
15.3%
7.7%
Win probability
0.61
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.9%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Júbilo Iwata
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 2014 |
TOC
0 - 2
JUB
32%
26%
42%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2014 |
JUB
3 - 3
AVI
76%
16%
8%
|
67 | 51 | 16 | -1 |
| 16 Mar. 2014 |
JUB
3 - 1
ROA
78%
15%
7%
|
66 | 51 | 15 | +1 |
| 09 Mar. 2014 |
KAM
1 - 4
JUB
23%
26%
51%
|
66 | 56 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2014 |
JUB
0 - 1
CON
67%
20%
14%
|
67 | 58 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Thespa Gunma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 2014 |
THE
2 - 0
KAT
50%
26%
24%
|
51 | 49 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2014 |
TOC
3 - 0
THE
61%
23%
16%
|
52 | 60 | 8 | -1 |
| 16 Mar. 2014 |
FAG
1 - 2
THE
55%
24%
21%
|
51 | 55 | 4 | +1 |
| 09 Mar. 2014 |
THE
1 - 0
TOK
34%
27%
39%
|
50 | 54 | 4 | +1 |
| 02 Mar. 2014 |
VVA
2 - 0
THE
59%
24%
17%
|
51 | 58 | 7 | -1 |