Júbilo Iwata vs Nagoya Grampus analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.1%
Win probability
2.21
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.9%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.9%
3-0
8.7%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.4%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.8%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
18.4%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.4%
12.5%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.8%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Júbilo Iwata
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 2005 |
SHE
1 - 0
JUB
38%
26%
36%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2005 |
FCY
0 - 1
JUB
33%
25%
42%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 31 Dec. 2004 |
TOK
2 - 1
JUB
20%
21%
60%
|
79 | 67 | 12 | +1 |
| 25 Dec. 2004 |
URA
1 - 2
JUB
44%
24%
32%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2004 |
CON
0 - 1
JUB
24%
23%
54%
|
79 | 63 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Nagoya Grampus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2005 |
NAG
2 - 2
JEF
41%
25%
34%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2004 |
TOK
2 - 1
NAG
42%
24%
34%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2004 |
NAG
0 - 2
KAA
46%
25%
29%
|
67 | 71 | 4 | -1 |
| 23 Nov. 2004 |
VIS
2 - 1
NAG
34%
24%
42%
|
68 | 57 | 11 | -1 |
| 20 Nov. 2004 |
URA
1 - 2
NAG
63%
20%
17%
|
67 | 74 | 7 | +1 |