Júbilo Iwata vs Nagoya Grampus analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.6%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.1%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.1%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
22.8%
21.6%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.7%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Júbilo Iwata
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 1997 |
KAA
2 - 0
JUB
60%
22%
18%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 1997 |
JUB
2 - 1
VIS
77%
15%
9%
|
56 | 43 | 13 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 1997 |
CER
1 - 4
JUB
40%
26%
34%
|
57 | 48 | 9 | -1 |
| 06 Aug. 1997 |
JUB
2 - 1
AVI
81%
13%
6%
|
57 | 39 | 18 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 1997 |
SAN
1 - 3
JUB
37%
26%
37%
|
58 | 49 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Nagoya Grampus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 1997 |
NAG
2 - 1
FLU
47%
24%
29%
|
51 | 55 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 1997 |
KAA
7 - 0
NAG
66%
20%
15%
|
54 | 60 | 6 | -3 |
| 06 Aug. 1997 |
NAG
3 - 0
VIS
72%
17%
11%
|
54 | 46 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 1997 |
CER
2 - 3
NAG
46%
24%
31%
|
54 | 49 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 1997 |
SAN
1 - 0
NAG
39%
26%
36%
|
56 | 49 | 7 | -2 |