Júbilo Iwata vs Cerezo Osaka analysis

Júbilo Iwata Cerezo Osaka
73 ELO 80
13.9% Tilt -1.4%
759º General ELO ranking 321º
18º Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
38%
Júbilo Iwata
26.7%
Draw
35.3%
Cerezo Osaka

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38%
Win probability
Júbilo Iwata
1.31
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.3%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
35.3%
Win probability
Cerezo Osaka
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.1%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.1%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Júbilo Iwata
-3%
-4%
Cerezo Osaka

Points and table prediction

Júbilo Iwata
Their league position
Cerezo Osaka
CURR.POS.
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
23
11º
18º
16º
35
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Machida Zelvia
43
68
36%
Kashima Antlers
38
66
18.5%
Vissel Kobe
37
65
18%
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
34
62
10%
Gamba Osaka
38
61
9%
Yokohama F. Marinos
12º
26
60
8.5%
Urawa Reds
32
58
15%
Avispa Fukuoka
35
58
11%
Cerezo Osaka
35
57
8%
FC Tokyo
33
56
10º
9%
Kawasaki Frontale
14º
23
54
11º
11.5%
Tokyo Verdy
10º
30
50
12º
10.5%
Nagoya Grampus
11º
27
49
13º
13%
Albirex Niigata
13º
25
47
14º
15%
Kashiwa Reysol
16º
23
45
15º
14%
Júbilo Iwata
15º
23
43
16º
16%
Sagan Tosu
17º
20
40
17º
20%
Shonan Bellmare
19º
16
35
18º
21%
Kyoto Sanga
18º
18
34
19º
24%
Consadole Sapporo
20º
11
31
20º
40%
Expected probabilities
Júbilo Iwata
Cerezo Osaka
Champion
0% 3%
AFC Champions League Elite
0% 5.5%
AFC Champions League 2
0% 5.5%
Mid-table
83.5% 86%
Relegation
16.5% 0%

ELO progression

Júbilo Iwata
Cerezo Osaka
Tokyo Verdy
Shonan Bellmare
Kawasaki Frontale
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Júbilo Iwata
Júbilo Iwata
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
16 Jun. 2024
FCT
FC Tokyo
1 - 1
Júbilo Iwata
JUB
57%
23%
19%
72 79 7 0
12 Jun. 2024
JUB
Júbilo Iwata
1 - 2
Tegevajaro Miyazaki
TMF
84%
11%
5%
73 48 25 -1
01 Jun. 2024
SAN
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
2 - 0
Júbilo Iwata
JUB
63%
21%
16%
73 82 9 0
25 May. 2024
JUB
Júbilo Iwata
3 - 2
Shonan Bellmare
SHO
51%
25%
25%
73 72 1 0
19 May. 2024
JUB
Júbilo Iwata
1 - 1
Urawa Reds
URA
32%
27%
42%
73 82 9 0

Matches

Cerezo Osaka
Cerezo Osaka
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
15 Jun. 2024
CER
Cerezo Osaka
2 - 1
Urawa Reds
URA
41%
27%
33%
80 82 2 0
12 Jun. 2024
CER
Cerezo Osaka
3 - 1
J-Lease FC
JLF
80%
14%
6%
80 7 73 0
09 Jun. 2024
MAC
Machida Zelvia
2 - 2
Cerezo Osaka
CER
49%
25%
26%
80 79 1 0
05 Jun. 2024
CER
Cerezo Osaka
1 - 3
Machida Zelvia
MAC
49%
25%
26%
80 78 2 0
01 Jun. 2024
KYO
Kyoto Sanga
1 - 1
Cerezo Osaka
CER
32%
28%
40%
80 71 9 0
X