League Cup Last 16
Global 2-1
Júbilo Iwata vs Avispa Fukuoka analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
83.1%
Win probability
2.79
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.1%
6-0
2.3%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.8%
5-0
4.9%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
6.3%
4-0
8.7%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.9%
3-0
12.5%
4-1
5%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.4%
2-0
13.5%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.3%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.8%
11.7%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
5.5%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
11.7%
5.2%
Win probability
0.57
Expected goals
0-1
2%
1-2
1.6%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.1%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Júbilo Iwata
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jun. 1999 |
AVI
1 - 1
JUB
14%
20%
66%
|
67 | 36 | 31 | 0 |
| 29 May. 1999 |
JEF
2 - 1
JUB
16%
21%
63%
|
67 | 35 | 32 | 0 |
| 26 May. 1999 |
JUB
1 - 0
AVI
85%
12%
4%
|
67 | 34 | 33 | 0 |
| 22 May. 1999 |
JUB
1 - 0
GAM
82%
13%
5%
|
67 | 42 | 25 | 0 |
| 19 May. 1999 |
JUB
1 - 2
CER
79%
14%
7%
|
68 | 47 | 21 | -1 |
Matches
Avispa Fukuoka
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jun. 1999 |
AVI
1 - 1
JUB
14%
20%
66%
|
36 | 67 | 31 | 0 |
| 29 May. 1999 |
AVI
2 - 0
KYO
52%
25%
23%
|
34 | 39 | 5 | +2 |
| 26 May. 1999 |
JUB
1 - 0
AVI
85%
12%
4%
|
34 | 67 | 33 | 0 |
| 22 May. 1999 |
URA
2 - 3
AVI
74%
17%
9%
|
33 | 51 | 18 | +1 |
| 15 May. 1999 |
AVI
2 - 0
SHO
33%
26%
41%
|
30 | 41 | 11 | +3 |