Juazeiro BA vs Tupi analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
29.6%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.8%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.2%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.7%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
44.7%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
0-1
10.5%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22.6%
0-2
7.8%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.4%
0-3
3.9%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.9%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Juazeiro BA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Feb. 2014 |
JUA
1 - 1
BAH
32%
26%
41%
|
41 | 51 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2014 |
JAC
3 - 1
JUA
56%
23%
21%
|
42 | 48 | 6 | -1 |
| 30 Jan. 2014 |
SDJ
3 - 1
JUA
53%
24%
23%
|
43 | 49 | 6 | -1 |
| 26 Jan. 2014 |
JUA
1 - 0
FEI
57%
23%
20%
|
42 | 38 | 4 | +1 |
| 23 Jan. 2014 |
SER
2 - 0
JUA
45%
25%
30%
|
44 | 44 | 0 | -2 |
Matches
Tupi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 2014 |
CRZ
2 - 1
TUP
88%
9%
3%
|
52 | 86 | 34 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2014 |
TUP
1 - 0
BOA
36%
27%
36%
|
51 | 57 | 6 | +1 |
| 01 Mar. 2014 |
TOM
1 - 1
TUP
47%
25%
28%
|
51 | 54 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2014 |
TUP
1 - 0
NAC
77%
16%
7%
|
51 | 20 | 31 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2014 |
TUP
0 - 0
VIL
58%
24%
19%
|
51 | 47 | 4 | 0 |