Juazeiro BA vs Atlético Alagoinhas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.2%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.5%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.3%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.7%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.3%
34.5%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
8%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.7%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Juazeiro BA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Feb. 2013 |
VIT
0 - 1
JUA
53%
24%
24%
|
41 | 46 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2013 |
JUA
1 - 1
BOT
59%
21%
20%
|
41 | 37 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2013 |
SER
2 - 0
JUA
47%
24%
29%
|
42 | 44 | 2 | -1 |
| 15 Apr. 2012 |
BAH
1 - 2
JUA
64%
21%
16%
|
41 | 52 | 11 | +1 |
| 08 Apr. 2012 |
JUA
0 - 2
VIT
14%
22%
64%
|
41 | 72 | 31 | 0 |
Matches
Atlético Alagoinhas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb. 2013 |
ALA
0 - 1
SDJ
48%
24%
28%
|
47 | 47 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2013 |
FLU
0 - 0
ALA
40%
25%
35%
|
47 | 44 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2013 |
ALA
1 - 2
SER
58%
22%
20%
|
48 | 43 | 5 | -1 |
| 15 Apr. 2012 |
ALA
1 - 2
BAH
15%
22%
63%
|
48 | 72 | 24 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2012 |
VIT
0 - 0
ALA
47%
24%
29%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | 0 |