Copa Peru Eliminatorias 1/16
Global 6-5
Juan Pablo II College vs Deportivo Huracán analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
24.6%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
0.1%
+3
2.7%
2-0
2.7%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
7%
1-0
3.8%
2-1
6%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
13.9%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.4%
54.9%
Win probability
2.19
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
4.8%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21.3%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
6.7%
2-4
2.6%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
16.4%
0-3
4.7%
1-4
3.7%
2-5
1.2%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
9.8%
0-4
2.6%
1-5
1.6%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0.1%
-4
4.7%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.9%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Juan Pablo II College
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
CRN
2 - 2
JPC
31%
25%
45%
|
8 | 5 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2023 |
JPC
2 - 2
BJC
49%
21%
30%
|
8 | 5 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
JJL
0 - 0
JPC
35%
25%
41%
|
8 | 7 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2023 |
JPC
1 - 0
JJL
38%
22%
41%
|
7 | 7 | 0 | +1 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
BJC
1 - 1
JPC
35%
22%
43%
|
7 | 7 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Deportivo Huracán
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
JUP
3 - 3
CDH
13%
20%
66%
|
12 | 5 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2023 |
CDH
1 - 0
STI
45%
22%
34%
|
11 | 10 | 1 | +1 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
CSM
1 - 2
CDH
76%
16%
8%
|
10 | 16 | 6 | +1 |
| 27 Sep. 2023 |
CDH
3 - 1
CSM
12%
15%
73%
|
8 | 17 | 9 | +2 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
STI
0 - 0
CDH
43%
22%
35%
|
8 | 9 | 1 | 0 |