Juan Aurich Chiclayo vs Univ. San Martín analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.9%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.2%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.1%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.8%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
10%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.8%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
20.7%
17.4%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.5%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-25%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Juan Aurich Chiclayo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 May. 2023 |
LOS
2 - 1
AUR
28%
26%
46%
|
51 | 48 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2023 |
PIR
1 - 1
AUR
31%
25%
45%
|
51 | 47 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2023 |
AUR
1 - 0
LLA
45%
25%
30%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | +1 |
| 15 Apr. 2023 |
AUR
1 - 0
SFC
41%
26%
34%
|
49 | 53 | 4 | +1 |
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
AUR
3 - 0
SCJ
58%
21%
21%
|
48 | 44 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Univ. San Martín
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 May. 2023 |
PIR
0 - 2
SAM
55%
23%
22%
|
43 | 47 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2023 |
SAM
0 - 1
UNI
20%
22%
59%
|
43 | 54 | 11 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2023 |
COM
2 - 1
SAM
5%
11%
84%
|
45 | 18 | 27 | -2 |
| 23 Apr. 2023 |
SAM
0 - 2
AUN
31%
26%
44%
|
46 | 53 | 7 | -1 |
| 16 Apr. 2023 |
SRP
2 - 0
SAM
63%
21%
16%
|
46 | 54 | 8 | 0 |