Juan Aurich Chiclayo vs Univ. San Martín analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.9%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.9%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.4%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.3%
23.8%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.3%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Juan Aurich Chiclayo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Dec. 2014 |
AUR
2 - 3
SPC
46%
25%
29%
|
68 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2014 |
SPC
0 - 0
AUR
63%
21%
17%
|
69 | 73 | 4 | -1 |
| 14 Dec. 2014 |
AUR
2 - 2
SPC
45%
25%
30%
|
69 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2014 |
UNI
3 - 1
AUR
35%
28%
37%
|
71 | 67 | 4 | -2 |
| 24 Nov. 2014 |
AUR
1 - 1
SAM
62%
21%
17%
|
71 | 65 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Univ. San Martín
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 2015 |
SAM
0 - 0
LEO
45%
25%
30%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2014 |
SAM
6 - 0
SAN
56%
24%
20%
|
65 | 59 | 6 | +1 |
| 28 Nov. 2014 |
GAR
1 - 0
SAM
55%
24%
22%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | -1 |
| 26 Nov. 2014 |
SAM
2 - 1
AYA
46%
26%
28%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | +1 |
| 24 Nov. 2014 |
AUR
1 - 1
SAM
62%
21%
17%
|
65 | 71 | 6 | 0 |