Juan Aurich Chiclayo vs Unión Comercio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.6%
Win probability
2.15
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.2%
3-0
8%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.6%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.1%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
19.3%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.3%
14.1%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.7%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-25%
-36%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Juan Aurich Chiclayo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 2014 |
AUR
3 - 2
LEO
63%
21%
16%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2014 |
ALI
1 - 1
AUR
46%
26%
28%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2014 |
AUR
3 - 1
AYA
59%
22%
20%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2013 |
LEO
0 - 1
AUR
44%
27%
29%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | +1 |
| 24 Nov. 2013 |
AUR
4 - 1
GAL
67%
20%
13%
|
69 | 58 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Unión Comercio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 2014 |
SPC
5 - 2
COM
74%
17%
10%
|
63 | 75 | 12 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2014 |
COM
2 - 2
GAR
33%
26%
41%
|
63 | 74 | 11 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2014 |
SAN
0 - 0
COM
59%
22%
19%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2013 |
COM
2 - 0
HUA
43%
26%
31%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | +1 |
| 24 Nov. 2013 |
MEL
1 - 1
COM
56%
24%
20%
|
62 | 68 | 6 | 0 |