Juan Aurich Chiclayo vs Unión Comercio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.9%
Win probability
2.22
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.2%
3-0
9.4%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14%
2-0
12.6%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.3%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
17.9%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.9%
11.1%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
8.1%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-20%
-34%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Juan Aurich Chiclayo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jul. 2014 |
LOS
0 - 4
AUR
41%
29%
31%
|
70 | 63 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 2014 |
AUR
3 - 4
SPC
52%
24%
24%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2014 |
CIE
1 - 1
AUR
34%
28%
38%
|
70 | 61 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 2014 |
AUR
6 - 0
HUA
68%
19%
13%
|
70 | 60 | 10 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 2014 |
ALI
0 - 0
AUR
46%
28%
27%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Unión Comercio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jul. 2014 |
COM
1 - 0
SAM
35%
27%
38%
|
61 | 67 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2014 |
GAR
1 - 0
COM
63%
22%
15%
|
61 | 69 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Jul. 2014 |
COM
0 - 1
AYA
45%
26%
30%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | -1 |
| 06 Jul. 2014 |
UNI
0 - 0
COM
53%
26%
21%
|
62 | 68 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 2014 |
COM
0 - 2
MEL
41%
28%
31%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | -1 |