Juan Aurich Chiclayo vs Unión Comercio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.3%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.9%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.6%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.4%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.6%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
11%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.3%
17.4%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.1%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-20%
-41%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Juan Aurich Chiclayo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Nov. 2012 |
SBO
1 - 2
AUR
26%
28%
46%
|
72 | 59 | 13 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2012 |
AUR
1 - 1
LEO
54%
25%
21%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2012 |
ALI
2 - 1
AUR
45%
28%
28%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | -1 |
| 31 Oct. 2012 |
GAR
3 - 1
AUR
59%
22%
19%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2012 |
AUR
2 - 0
MEL
57%
24%
19%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Unión Comercio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Nov. 2012 |
COM
2 - 0
LEO
49%
27%
25%
|
67 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2012 |
MEL
3 - 0
COM
53%
25%
22%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | -1 |
| 03 Nov. 2012 |
COM
1 - 2
VAL
52%
26%
23%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | -1 |
| 31 Oct. 2012 |
ALI
1 - 1
COM
52%
26%
22%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2012 |
GAR
3 - 0
COM
60%
23%
17%
|
69 | 75 | 6 | 0 |