Juan Aurich Chiclayo vs Unión Comercio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.9%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.9%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.4%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.9%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
11%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.2%
18.9%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.7%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-23%
-26%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Juan Aurich Chiclayo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 2012 |
STR
2 - 1
AUR
63%
20%
17%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2012 |
GAL
3 - 1
AUR
34%
30%
37%
|
72 | 63 | 9 | -1 |
| 09 Feb. 2012 |
SCI
2 - 0
AUR
71%
19%
10%
|
74 | 84 | 10 | -2 |
| 04 Dec. 2011 |
VAL
1 - 0
AUR
31%
30%
39%
|
74 | 63 | 11 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2011 |
AUR
2 - 1
COB
62%
23%
16%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Unión Comercio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb. 2012 |
COM
0 - 1
VAL
61%
23%
17%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2011 |
COM
3 - 2
UNI
53%
27%
20%
|
69 | 72 | 3 | -1 |
| 27 Nov. 2011 |
SBO
1 - 3
COM
43%
27%
31%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | +1 |
| 20 Nov. 2011 |
COM
5 - 2
VAL
57%
25%
18%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | +1 |
| 05 Nov. 2011 |
MEL
1 - 2
COM
44%
27%
29%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | 0 |