Juan Aurich Chiclayo vs Sporting Cristal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.6%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
7%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.3%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.7%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.2%
17.2%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.7%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-20%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Juan Aurich Chiclayo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 May. 2011 |
ALI
1 - 1
AUR
31%
30%
40%
|
72 | 61 | 11 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2011 |
AUR
2 - 0
ALI
49%
25%
25%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2011 |
SBO
0 - 5
AUR
38%
29%
33%
|
71 | 62 | 9 | +1 |
| 03 Apr. 2011 |
AUR
1 - 1
MEL
71%
18%
11%
|
71 | 60 | 11 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2011 |
HUA
0 - 0
AUR
49%
27%
24%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Sporting Cristal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 2011 |
SPC
3 - 0
UNI
42%
29%
29%
|
67 | 76 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2011 |
VAL
1 - 0
SPC
49%
26%
25%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2011 |
SPC
1 - 1
COB
46%
27%
27%
|
67 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2011 |
AYA
2 - 0
SPC
42%
27%
31%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | -1 |
| 20 Mar. 2011 |
SPC
1 - 0
CIE
57%
24%
20%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | 0 |