Juan Aurich Chiclayo vs San Simón analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.6%
Win probability
2.24
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.7%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.4%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.5%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.6%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
19%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19%
15.4%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.2%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Juan Aurich Chiclayo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 2014 |
COM
3 - 2
AUR
33%
26%
42%
|
72 | 62 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2014 |
LEO
1 - 1
AUR
40%
26%
34%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2014 |
AUR
1 - 3
ALI
55%
22%
23%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2014 |
AYA
3 - 2
AUR
34%
25%
41%
|
73 | 63 | 10 | -1 |
| 28 Mar. 2014 |
GAR
2 - 2
AUR
49%
25%
27%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
San Simón
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr. 2014 |
SAN
1 - 2
LEO
48%
25%
28%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2014 |
ALI
2 - 0
SAN
55%
24%
21%
|
66 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2014 |
SAN
2 - 2
AYA
50%
23%
27%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2014 |
COM
1 - 0
SAN
39%
24%
38%
|
67 | 62 | 5 | -1 |
| 29 Mar. 2014 |
SPC
1 - 1
SAN
71%
17%
12%
|
67 | 75 | 8 | 0 |