Juan Aurich Chiclayo vs San Simón analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.7%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.3%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6%
3-0
8.8%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.6%
2-0
13%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.8%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
19.8%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.8%
12.4%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Juan Aurich Chiclayo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May. 2014 |
AUR
1 - 0
GAR
49%
23%
27%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2014 |
SPC
2 - 0
AUR
61%
21%
18%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | -1 |
| 04 May. 2014 |
AUR
4 - 0
SAN
66%
19%
15%
|
72 | 66 | 6 | +1 |
| 27 Apr. 2014 |
COM
3 - 2
AUR
33%
26%
42%
|
72 | 63 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2014 |
LEO
1 - 1
AUR
40%
26%
34%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
San Simón
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May. 2014 |
SAN
2 - 1
SPC
24%
23%
53%
|
65 | 76 | 11 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2014 |
GAR
1 - 0
SAN
63%
21%
16%
|
65 | 73 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2014 |
AUR
4 - 0
SAN
66%
19%
15%
|
66 | 72 | 6 | -1 |
| 26 Apr. 2014 |
SAN
1 - 2
LEO
48%
25%
28%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | -1 |
| 21 Apr. 2014 |
ALI
2 - 0
SAN
55%
24%
21%
|
67 | 73 | 6 | 0 |