Juan Aurich Chiclayo vs Ayacucho FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.7%
Win probability
2.19
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.6%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.4%
3-0
8%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.7%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.1%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.6%
19.1%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
9%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.1%
14.2%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.7%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-20%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Juan Aurich Chiclayo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Aug. 2014 |
GAR
2 - 2
AUR
45%
27%
28%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2014 |
AUR
3 - 1
MEL
59%
23%
19%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | +1 |
| 30 Jul. 2014 |
UTC
3 - 1
AUR
32%
28%
39%
|
72 | 65 | 7 | -1 |
| 27 Jul. 2014 |
AUR
2 - 1
COM
71%
18%
11%
|
72 | 63 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2014 |
LOS
0 - 4
AUR
41%
29%
31%
|
71 | 64 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Ayacucho FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Aug. 2014 |
AYA
2 - 4
SAM
43%
26%
31%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2014 |
GAR
3 - 0
AYA
52%
25%
24%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | -1 |
| 03 Aug. 2014 |
AYA
3 - 2
SAN
56%
24%
20%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | +1 |
| 27 Jul. 2014 |
AYA
2 - 0
UNI
45%
27%
29%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | +1 |
| 21 Jul. 2014 |
MEL
2 - 2
AYA
54%
25%
21%
|
64 | 70 | 6 | 0 |