Juan Aurich Chiclayo vs Ayacucho FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.8%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.4%
3-0
6%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.7%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.2%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
24%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24%
20.3%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.5%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-20%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Juan Aurich Chiclayo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jul. 2012 |
VAL
0 - 0
AUR
46%
27%
27%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2012 |
AUR
0 - 0
SAM
51%
25%
24%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Jul. 2012 |
GAR
1 - 0
AUR
55%
25%
19%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | -1 |
| 08 Jul. 2012 |
AUR
1 - 0
LEO
49%
25%
25%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | +1 |
| 05 Jul. 2012 |
UNI
3 - 1
AUR
42%
28%
30%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Ayacucho FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jul. 2012 |
ALI
1 - 1
AYA
52%
25%
23%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Jul. 2012 |
AYA
0 - 0
HUA
45%
26%
29%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Jul. 2012 |
MEL
1 - 0
AYA
46%
26%
28%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | -1 |
| 08 Jul. 2012 |
AYA
0 - 0
COM
45%
27%
29%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 2012 |
VAL
1 - 0
AYA
48%
26%
26%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | 0 |