Juan Aurich Chiclayo vs Comerciantes Unidos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.5%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.7%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.2%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.7%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.5%
19.1%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.8%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-25%
-24%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Juan Aurich Chiclayo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 2019 |
SRP
1 - 0
AUR
28%
25%
47%
|
65 | 58 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2019 |
AUR
3 - 1
LOS
34%
25%
41%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2019 |
SFC
0 - 2
AUR
33%
27%
40%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | +1 |
| 08 Sep. 2019 |
SPO
0 - 3
AUR
16%
22%
62%
|
63 | 49 | 14 | +1 |
| 31 Aug. 2019 |
AUR
2 - 0
AGP
35%
27%
38%
|
62 | 66 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Comerciantes Unidos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 2019 |
COM
2 - 0
AGP
24%
26%
50%
|
58 | 68 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2019 |
SPO
3 - 0
COM
33%
26%
41%
|
59 | 50 | 9 | -1 |
| 15 Sep. 2019 |
COM
2 - 1
CIE
29%
25%
46%
|
58 | 68 | 10 | +1 |
| 08 Sep. 2019 |
UNI
2 - 2
COM
62%
22%
16%
|
58 | 65 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2019 |
COM
2 - 1
LOS
60%
20%
20%
|
58 | 51 | 7 | 0 |