Juan Aurich Chiclayo vs Comerciantes FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.9%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.2%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.9%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.5%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.8%
17.2%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
11.9%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-25%
+74%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Juan Aurich Chiclayo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 2023 |
AUR
0 - 0
AUN
23%
26%
50%
|
51 | 60 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2023 |
AYA
2 - 1
AUR
38%
25%
38%
|
52 | 49 | 3 | -1 |
| 30 Aug. 2023 |
AUR
1 - 1
SRP
20%
26%
54%
|
51 | 62 | 11 | +1 |
| 23 Aug. 2023 |
FCS
1 - 1
AUR
18%
21%
61%
|
51 | 39 | 12 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2023 |
AUR
1 - 0
COM
18%
25%
58%
|
50 | 64 | 14 | +1 |
Matches
Comerciantes FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2023 |
COM
3 - 1
AUN
19%
24%
57%
|
42 | 60 | 18 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2023 |
SRP
5 - 0
COM
79%
14%
7%
|
42 | 62 | 20 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2023 |
COM
2 - 2
COM
17%
23%
61%
|
42 | 63 | 21 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2023 |
LOS
1 - 0
COM
58%
24%
18%
|
42 | 50 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2023 |
COM
2 - 0
LLA
19%
23%
59%
|
40 | 55 | 15 | +2 |