Juan Aurich Chiclayo vs Alianza Lima analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.8%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.2%
2-0
8%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.8%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.8%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.4%
28.8%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
7%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.3%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.9%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-20%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Juan Aurich Chiclayo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2010 |
BOL
2 - 0
AUR
50%
23%
27%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2010 |
CIE
0 - 0
AUR
44%
26%
30%
|
73 | 66 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2010 |
AUR
2 - 1
TOT
62%
22%
16%
|
73 | 65 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2010 |
HUA
2 - 1
AUR
46%
27%
27%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2010 |
AUR
2 - 3
VAL
48%
25%
27%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Alianza Lima
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2010 |
EST
1 - 0
ALI
65%
20%
15%
|
75 | 85 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2010 |
ALI
3 - 2
GAL
65%
22%
13%
|
74 | 62 | 12 | +1 |
| 13 Apr. 2010 |
CNI
0 - 4
ALI
33%
28%
40%
|
74 | 65 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2010 |
ALI
1 - 0
BOL
48%
25%
27%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | +1 |
| 04 Apr. 2010 |
ALI
0 - 0
UNI
46%
28%
27%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | 0 |