Juan Aurich Chiclayo vs Alianza Lima analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.4%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.5%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
14%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.6%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.8%
28.8%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
7%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-20%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Juan Aurich Chiclayo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2010 |
ALI
2 - 0
AUR
51%
25%
24%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2010 |
AUR
3 - 1
ALI
61%
23%
16%
|
72 | 66 | 6 | +1 |
| 28 Feb. 2010 |
LEO
1 - 0
AUR
49%
27%
24%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | -1 |
| 24 Feb. 2010 |
AUR
2 - 0
BOL
52%
24%
25%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | +2 |
| 21 Feb. 2010 |
AUR
2 - 1
UNI
47%
28%
25%
|
71 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Alianza Lima
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2010 |
ALI
2 - 0
AUR
51%
25%
24%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2010 |
ALI
4 - 1
SBO
59%
23%
17%
|
73 | 64 | 9 | +1 |
| 28 Feb. 2010 |
SAM
0 - 1
ALI
49%
26%
26%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2010 |
ALI
3 - 0
ALI
56%
25%
19%
|
71 | 65 | 6 | +2 |
| 19 Feb. 2010 |
ALI
4 - 1
EST
28%
26%
46%
|
70 | 83 | 13 | +1 |