Juan Aurich Chiclayo vs Alfredo Salinas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4%
3-0
7%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.8%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.6%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.7%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.2%
16.9%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.8%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Juan Aurich Chiclayo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2018 |
HUA
1 - 1
AUR
51%
24%
25%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2018 |
AUR
1 - 0
UNI
37%
25%
38%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | -1 |
| 09 Sep. 2018 |
VAL
1 - 3
AUR
67%
19%
14%
|
63 | 74 | 11 | +1 |
| 02 Sep. 2018 |
AUR
1 - 1
SPO
62%
22%
16%
|
61 | 51 | 10 | +2 |
| 30 Aug. 2018 |
AGP
2 - 1
AUR
46%
25%
30%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Alfredo Salinas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2018 |
ALF
0 - 3
UNI
32%
25%
44%
|
54 | 62 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2018 |
VAL
5 - 0
ALF
86%
11%
4%
|
55 | 73 | 18 | -1 |
| 16 Sep. 2018 |
ALF
1 - 1
SPO
57%
21%
22%
|
56 | 53 | 3 | -1 |
| 09 Sep. 2018 |
AGP
4 - 0
ALF
58%
23%
19%
|
56 | 63 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2018 |
ALF
0 - 5
CIE
31%
26%
43%
|
56 | 67 | 11 | 0 |