CAF Champions Last 16
Global 1-5
JSM Béjaïa vs AFAD analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.7%
Win probability
2.27
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.3%
4-0
5.6%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.7%
3-0
9.9%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.6%
2-0
13%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.7%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
17.2%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.2%
10.1%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.4%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
JSM Béjaïa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 2012 |
TLE
2 - 0
BEJ
47%
27%
26%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2012 |
BEJ
3 - 1
FED
90%
8%
2%
|
76 | 16 | 60 | -1 |
| 25 Feb. 2012 |
BEJ
1 - 0
CAB
73%
18%
9%
|
75 | 63 | 12 | +1 |
| 18 Feb. 2012 |
FED
0 - 0
BEJ
9%
19%
72%
|
76 | 15 | 61 | -1 |
| 11 Feb. 2012 |
ALG
1 - 1
BEJ
42%
29%
30%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
AFAD
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2012 |
SOA
0 - 0
AFA
50%
27%
23%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2012 |
DEN
0 - 0
AFA
43%
29%
28%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2012 |
AFA
2 - 2
OUR
44%
29%
27%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2012 |
DIA
0 - 1
AFA
17%
22%
60%
|
64 | 42 | 22 | -1 |
| 19 Feb. 2012 |
AFA
1 - 0
DIA
72%
19%
10%
|
64 | 42 | 22 | 0 |