JS Saoura vs USM Khenchela analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.5%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.8%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.3%
2-0
12.3%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.3%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
20%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
20%
13.5%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
9.6%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
-4%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
0
2º
16º
4º
0
10º
15º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
4 | 50 |
1º
|
19% | |
|
2º
|
4 | 50 |
2º
|
14% | |
|
9º
|
0 | 49 |
3º
|
10.5% | |
|
|
16º
|
0 | 49 |
4º
|
11.5% | |
|
14º
|
0 | 49 |
5º
|
7% | |
|
7º
|
1 | 47 |
6º
|
6% | |
|
8º
|
1 | 45 |
7º
|
7.5% | |
|
3º
|
3 | 44 |
8º
|
9% | |
|
11º
|
0 | 44 |
9º
|
6.5% | |
|
5º
|
3 | 38 |
10º
|
9% | |
|
|
12º
|
0 | 35 |
11º
|
6% | |
|
13º
|
0 | 34 |
12º
|
8% | |
|
10º
|
0 | 34 |
13º
|
11% | |
|
4º
|
3 | 34 |
14º
|
10.5% | |
|
6º
|
3 | 31 |
15º
|
15% | |
|
15º
|
0 | 28 |
16º
|
22.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
CAF Champions League
|
17.5% | 2% |
|
CAF Confederation Cup
|
13.5% | 1.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
68.5% | 75% |
|
Relegation
|
0.5% | 21.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
JS Saoura
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2024 |
ORA
2 - 0
SAO
42%
29%
29%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 2024 |
SAO
1 - 2
BEL
52%
26%
22%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2024 |
JSK
1 - 1
SAO
35%
31%
35%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 2024 |
SAO
2 - 1
USM
60%
24%
17%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2024 |
USK
1 - 0
SAO
29%
30%
41%
|
74 | 62 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
USM Khenchela
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jun. 2024 |
PAR
2 - 0
USK
58%
24%
19%
|
63 | 73 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2024 |
USK
2 - 2
NCM
40%
28%
32%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 2024 |
SOU
2 - 5
USK
29%
26%
45%
|
63 | 46 | 17 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2024 |
USK
1 - 0
SAO
29%
30%
41%
|
62 | 74 | 12 | +1 |
| 17 May. 2024 |
CHL
4 - 1
USK
61%
23%
16%
|
63 | 74 | 11 | -1 |