JS Hercules vs VIFK analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
19.5%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.4%
2-0
2.8%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.9%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
5.2%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.8%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.7%
57.8%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
0-1
11.3%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.5%
0-2
10.3%
1-3
6%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
17.8%
0-3
6.3%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
9.5%
0-4
2.9%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
4%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+24%
+13%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
19
5º
12º
11º
34
5º
10º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
45 | 45 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
45 | 45 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
39 | 39 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
37 | 37 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
34 | 34 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
33 | 33 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
31 | 31 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
28 | 28 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
25 | 25 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
19 | 19 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
|
11º
|
19 | 19 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
12 | 12 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
JS Hercules
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
OLS
3 - 0
HER
74%
17%
10%
|
31 | 44 | 13 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
HER
1 - 1
JBK
62%
19%
19%
|
31 | 25 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
KUO
0 - 2
HER
49%
21%
31%
|
29 | 29 | 0 | +2 |
| 09 Sep. 2023 |
HER
1 - 1
GBK
36%
22%
42%
|
29 | 33 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
HER
2 - 0
NAR
34%
23%
43%
|
26 | 33 | 7 | +3 |
Matches
VIFK
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
VIF
1 - 0
NAR
67%
19%
13%
|
42 | 33 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
ROP
0 - 2
VIF
52%
23%
25%
|
40 | 42 | 2 | +2 |
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
VIF
1 - 1
FCV
44%
25%
32%
|
40 | 41 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2023 |
TP4
3 - 0
VIF
36%
25%
40%
|
42 | 37 | 5 | -2 |
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
VIF
2 - 0
AKA
45%
24%
30%
|
40 | 42 | 2 | +2 |