JS Hercules vs Oulun Luistinseura analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
16.1%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.9%
2-0
2.3%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.8%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
4.4%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.1%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.7%
62.1%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
0-1
12.2%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25%
0-2
11.6%
1-3
6.2%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.2%
0-3
7.3%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
10.8%
0-4
3.5%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
4.8%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
JS Hercules
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
HER
0 - 1
NAR
45%
23%
32%
|
31 | 33 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
HER
0 - 1
VIF
20%
23%
58%
|
32 | 44 | 12 | -1 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
OLS
3 - 0
HER
74%
17%
10%
|
32 | 46 | 14 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
HER
1 - 1
JBK
62%
19%
19%
|
32 | 27 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
KUO
0 - 2
HER
49%
21%
31%
|
30 | 30 | 0 | +2 |
Matches
Oulun Luistinseura
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 2024 |
OLS
2 - 0
KPV
40%
24%
37%
|
46 | 47 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2023 |
JIP
0 - 0
OLS
47%
25%
28%
|
46 | 47 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
KUO
0 - 0
OLS
25%
24%
51%
|
46 | 33 | 13 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
OLS
3 - 0
HER
74%
17%
10%
|
46 | 32 | 14 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
NAR
1 - 4
OLS
31%
25%
45%
|
45 | 36 | 9 | +1 |