JS Hercules vs Närpes Kraft analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.1%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.7%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.6%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
9%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.9%
23%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23%
32%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.2%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.3%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+20%
+22%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
17
3º
8º
7º
30
2º
4º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
42 | 43 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
36 | 39 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
31 | 34 |
3º
|
58% | |
|
|
4º
|
30 | 31 |
4º
|
44.5% | |
|
5º
|
29 | 30 |
5º
|
71% | |
|
6º
|
23 | 24 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
17 | 18 |
7º
|
85.5% | |
|
8º
|
16 | 16 |
8º
|
85.5% | |
|
9º
|
10 | 10 |
9º
|
65.5% | |
|
10º
|
7 | 8 |
10º
|
65.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Next round
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
JS Hercules
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
HER
0 - 1
VIF
20%
23%
58%
|
30 | 42 | 12 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
OLS
3 - 0
HER
74%
17%
10%
|
31 | 44 | 13 | -1 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
HER
1 - 1
JBK
62%
19%
19%
|
31 | 25 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
KUO
0 - 2
HER
49%
21%
31%
|
29 | 29 | 0 | +2 |
| 09 Sep. 2023 |
HER
1 - 1
GBK
36%
22%
42%
|
29 | 33 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Närpes Kraft
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
NAR
0 - 2
OTP
45%
22%
33%
|
32 | 37 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
VIF
1 - 0
NAR
67%
19%
13%
|
33 | 42 | 9 | -1 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
NAR
1 - 4
OLS
31%
25%
45%
|
34 | 43 | 9 | -1 |
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
JBK
1 - 3
NAR
37%
22%
40%
|
33 | 26 | 7 | +1 |
| 10 Sep. 2023 |
NAR
4 - 0
KUO
57%
19%
25%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | +1 |