JS Hercules vs Kuopion Elo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
26.7%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
3.2%
2-0
2.8%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.7%
1-0
3.6%
2-1
6.1%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
14.4%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.6%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.3%
52.9%
Win probability
2.22
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
5.1%
3-4
1.5%
4-5
0.3%
5-6
0%
-1
20.7%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
6.5%
2-4
2.8%
3-5
0.6%
4-6
0.1%
-2
15.7%
0-3
4.2%
1-4
3.6%
2-5
1.2%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
9.3%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
1.6%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
-4
4.5%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.8%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+20%
-24%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
17
3º
8º
7º
23
2º
6º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
42 | 43 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
36 | 39 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
31 | 34 |
3º
|
58% | |
|
4º
|
30 | 31 |
4º
|
44.5% | |
|
5º
|
29 | 30 |
5º
|
71% | |
|
|
6º
|
23 | 24 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
17 | 18 |
7º
|
85.5% | |
|
8º
|
16 | 16 |
8º
|
85.5% | |
|
9º
|
10 | 10 |
9º
|
65.5% | |
|
10º
|
7 | 8 |
10º
|
65.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Next round
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
JS Hercules
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jul. 2024 |
TP4
3 - 2
HER
80%
13%
7%
|
26 | 42 | 16 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2024 |
HER
2 - 1
OPS
38%
22%
40%
|
25 | 27 | 2 | +1 |
| 07 Jul. 2024 |
HER
1 - 2
GBK
11%
17%
72%
|
26 | 44 | 18 | -1 |
| 04 Jul. 2024 |
SJJ
4 - 4
HER
77%
13%
10%
|
25 | 39 | 14 | +1 |
| 29 Jun. 2024 |
HER
2 - 2
JBK
21%
21%
58%
|
24 | 38 | 14 | +1 |
Matches
Kuopion Elo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jul. 2024 |
KUO
4 - 3
SJJ
35%
21%
45%
|
35 | 38 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2024 |
OPS
2 - 2
KUO
33%
21%
46%
|
35 | 26 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2024 |
KUO
0 - 2
TP4
37%
24%
40%
|
36 | 41 | 5 | -1 |
| 06 Jul. 2024 |
NAR
5 - 2
KUO
50%
20%
30%
|
37 | 36 | 1 | -1 |
| 03 Jul. 2024 |
KUO
3 - 3
JPS
68%
17%
15%
|
37 | 27 | 10 | 0 |