Douvres vs Chateauroux analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
7%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.3%
2-0
0.8%
3-1
0.5%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
1.4%
1-0
2.2%
2-1
2.2%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
5.2%
12.9%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
6.1%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
12.9%
80%
Win probability
2.76
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
20.2%
0-2
11.8%
1-3
7.7%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
21.8%
0-3
10.9%
1-4
5.3%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.1%
-3
17.4%
0-4
7.5%
1-5
3%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0%
-4
11%
0-5
4.2%
1-6
1.4%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
5.7%
0-6
1.9%
1-7
0.5%
2-8
0.1%
-6
2.5%
0-7
0.8%
1-8
0.2%
2-9
0%
-7
1%
0-8
0.3%
1-9
0.1%
-8
0.3%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Douvres
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 2023 |
DOU
2 - 1
CHO
11%
15%
74%
|
7 | 20 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Chateauroux
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Dec. 2023 |
SPI
4 - 1
CHA
33%
27%
40%
|
55 | 50 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2023 |
CHA
1 - 2
AVR
51%
24%
25%
|
56 | 53 | 3 | -1 |
| 18 Nov. 2023 |
CHA
2 - 1
RED
21%
22%
56%
|
54 | 66 | 12 | +2 |
| 13 Nov. 2023 |
LMU
1 - 1
CHA
53%
25%
23%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2023 |
CHA
0 - 3
FCR
45%
27%
28%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | -1 |