Copa del Rey 1/256
Global 6-4
FC Jove Español vs Valencia Mestalla analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.1%
Win probability
2.18
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.3%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.8%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.7%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
19.7%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.7%
17.2%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.1%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Jove Español
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 1979 |
JOV
1 - 1
ALB
42%
30%
27%
|
31 | 43 | 12 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 1979 |
VIL
1 - 0
JOV
62%
22%
17%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | -1 |
| 07 Oct. 1979 |
JOV
0 - 0
TOR
64%
22%
15%
|
32 | 35 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 1979 |
CRE
1 - 0
JOV
56%
24%
20%
|
33 | 30 | 3 | -1 |
| 23 Sep. 1979 |
JOV
1 - 1
VAL
66%
21%
14%
|
33 | 35 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Valencia Mestalla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 1979 |
ALM
3 - 0
VAL
66%
21%
13%
|
33 | 34 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 1979 |
VAL
1 - 2
ACE
71%
18%
11%
|
34 | 30 | 4 | -1 |
| 07 Oct. 1979 |
ALZ
2 - 1
VAL
60%
25%
16%
|
35 | 36 | 1 | -1 |
| 30 Sep. 1979 |
VAL
1 - 1
ORI
70%
19%
11%
|
35 | 35 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 1979 |
JOV
1 - 1
VAL
66%
21%
14%
|
35 | 33 | 2 | 0 |