Copa del Rey 1/128
Global 6-2
FC Jove Español vs Paterna CF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.4%
Win probability
2.18
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.4%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.8%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.8%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.1%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
19.6%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
9%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.6%
16.9%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Jove Español
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 1978 |
ORI
4 - 0
JOV
50%
28%
22%
|
35 | 33 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 1978 |
JOV
1 - 0
MAR
66%
18%
16%
|
34 | 36 | 2 | +1 |
| 03 Sep. 1978 |
CON
1 - 0
JOV
56%
26%
18%
|
35 | 38 | 3 | -1 |
| 14 May. 1978 |
CON
2 - 0
JOV
52%
28%
20%
|
36 | 37 | 1 | -1 |
| 07 May. 1978 |
JOV
7 - 0
MAR
62%
20%
18%
|
34 | 37 | 3 | +2 |
Matches
Paterna CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 1978 |
PAT
2 - 1
GAN
54%
22%
24%
|
33 | 35 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 1978 |
TOR
1 - 1
PAT
64%
19%
17%
|
33 | 31 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 1978 |
PAT
0 - 1
PBL
58%
21%
21%
|
34 | 35 | 1 | -1 |
| 14 May. 1978 |
POR
4 - 2
PAT
58%
21%
21%
|
35 | 33 | 2 | -1 |
| 07 May. 1978 |
PAT
1 - 1
YEC
69%
17%
14%
|
35 | 28 | 7 | 0 |