José Gálvez vs Univ. San Marcos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.3%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.2%
3-0
7%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.7%
1-0
13%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.8%
16.9%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
11.7%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
José Gálvez
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Aug. 2011 |
LOS
1 - 1
GAL
42%
26%
32%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2011 |
GAL
3 - 0
LOS
38%
27%
35%
|
59 | 64 | 5 | +1 |
| 10 Jul. 2011 |
GAL
3 - 1
BOL
56%
25%
20%
|
58 | 55 | 3 | +1 |
| 03 Jul. 2011 |
GAL
1 - 0
IAS
61%
23%
16%
|
58 | 52 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Jun. 2011 |
ACO
2 - 3
GAL
55%
24%
21%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Univ. San Marcos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jul. 2011 |
SMA
1 - 5
BOL
50%
25%
24%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Jul. 2011 |
IAS
0 - 1
SMA
40%
26%
34%
|
54 | 51 | 3 | +1 |
| 10 Jul. 2011 |
ACO
1 - 3
SMA
64%
21%
15%
|
53 | 58 | 5 | +1 |
| 02 Jul. 2011 |
SMA
3 - 0
ATL
52%
24%
24%
|
52 | 50 | 2 | +1 |
| 25 Jun. 2011 |
SPO
5 - 0
SMA
70%
19%
11%
|
53 | 67 | 14 | -1 |