José Gálvez vs Cienciano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.8%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.3%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.8%
1-0
13.4%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
22.4%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
14.9%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
José Gálvez
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2012 |
SPC
2 - 0
GAL
63%
21%
15%
|
68 | 75 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2012 |
GAL
1 - 0
HUA
41%
27%
32%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2012 |
GAL
3 - 1
AYA
43%
27%
30%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | +1 |
| 25 Aug. 2012 |
SAM
1 - 1
GAL
53%
26%
22%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2012 |
GAL
4 - 0
COB
59%
23%
17%
|
66 | 58 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Cienciano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2012 |
CIE
0 - 0
AYA
46%
25%
29%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2012 |
SAM
1 - 0
CIE
55%
25%
20%
|
64 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2012 |
CIE
2 - 0
COB
67%
19%
14%
|
63 | 57 | 6 | +1 |
| 26 Aug. 2012 |
HUA
2 - 0
CIE
56%
24%
20%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | -1 |
| 19 Aug. 2012 |
CIE
3 - 0
UNI
45%
27%
28%
|
63 | 72 | 9 | +1 |