José Gálvez vs Alianza Universidad analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.7%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.1%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.6%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.4%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
36.9%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.5%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.7%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
José Gálvez
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 2014 |
LOS
1 - 1
GAL
43%
26%
31%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2013 |
GAL
2 - 2
UNI
29%
28%
43%
|
57 | 72 | 15 | -1 |
| 24 Nov. 2013 |
AUR
4 - 1
GAL
67%
20%
13%
|
58 | 69 | 11 | -1 |
| 15 Nov. 2013 |
SAM
3 - 0
GAL
57%
24%
20%
|
59 | 65 | 6 | -1 |
| 10 Nov. 2013 |
GAL
4 - 0
AYA
35%
26%
39%
|
57 | 66 | 9 | +2 |
Matches
Alianza Universidad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr. 2014 |
AUN
1 - 0
ATL
63%
21%
16%
|
65 | 58 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2013 |
MUN
2 - 2
AUN
29%
28%
44%
|
66 | 56 | 10 | -1 |
| 13 Oct. 2013 |
AUN
3 - 0
SPO
69%
19%
12%
|
66 | 56 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2013 |
SPO
0 - 3
AUN
34%
27%
39%
|
65 | 56 | 9 | +1 |
| 29 Sep. 2013 |
AUN
3 - 2
ATL
63%
22%
16%
|
64 | 59 | 5 | +1 |