Jorge Wilstermann vs UTC Cajamarca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.7%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.1%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.6%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.8%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.7%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.7%
28.5%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.1%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.1%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Jorge Wilstermann
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 May. 1986 |
JWI
4 - 0
UNI
32%
24%
44%
|
64 | 77 | 13 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 1986 |
BOL
2 - 0
JWI
72%
16%
12%
|
65 | 73 | 8 | -1 |
| 30 Sep. 1982 |
STR
1 - 1
JWI
69%
17%
13%
|
65 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 1982 |
BOC
2 - 2
JWI
92%
6%
2%
|
64 | 84 | 20 | +1 |
| 14 Sep. 1982 |
RIV
3 - 0
JWI
89%
7%
4%
|
65 | 82 | 17 | -1 |
Matches
UTC Cajamarca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 1986 |
BOL
2 - 1
UTC
67%
18%
16%
|
69 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 1986 |
UNI
2 - 0
UTC
70%
16%
13%
|
70 | 76 | 6 | -1 |