Jorge Wilstermann vs Universitario de Vinto analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.7%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.9%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
27%
Draw
0-0
9.2%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.9%
26.3%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.9%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
-9%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
20
2º
11º
7º
16
4º
13º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
31 | 45 |
1º
|
71% | |
|
2º
|
28 | 42 |
2º
|
52.5% | |
|
3º
|
24 | 35 |
3º
|
30% | |
|
9º
|
19 | 32 |
4º
|
10% | |
|
5º
|
20 | 31 |
5º
|
12.5% | |
|
6º
|
20 | 31 |
6º
|
10% | |
|
|
7º
|
20 | 31 |
7º
|
12% | |
|
4º
|
21 | 31 |
8º
|
9.5% | |
|
8º
|
20 | 31 |
9º
|
8.5% | |
|
11º
|
18 | 29 |
10º
|
9% | |
|
|
12º
|
16 | 27 |
11º
|
18% | |
|
10º
|
18 | 25 |
12º
|
14% | |
|
14º
|
13 | 24 |
13º
|
17.5% | |
|
13º
|
16 | 24 |
14º
|
19.5% | |
|
15º
|
11 | 22 |
15º
|
24.5% | |
|
16º
|
9 | 19 |
16º
|
59.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
CONMEBOL Libertadores
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Jorge Wilstermann
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
DGV
0 - 0
JWI
25%
28%
47%
|
70 | 40 | 30 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
JWI
3 - 0
GUA
53%
25%
22%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2024 |
AUR
0 - 0
JWI
51%
26%
24%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2024 |
BOL
2 - 0
JWI
60%
22%
19%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2024 |
JWI
2 - 1
DRT
51%
26%
24%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Universitario de Vinto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
UDV
0 - 1
BOL
38%
26%
36%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
UDV
1 - 2
IND
46%
26%
28%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2024 |
ABB
2 - 1
UDV
34%
28%
38%
|
70 | 55 | 15 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2024 |
UDV
1 - 1
DGV
65%
22%
13%
|
70 | 39 | 31 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2024 |
GUA
4 - 2
UDV
41%
27%
32%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | 0 |