Apertura Bolivia Final
Global 3-3
Jorge Wilstermann vs The Strongest analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.4%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.1%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.3%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.5%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
10%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.1%
15.5%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.7%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+26%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Jorge Wilstermann
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 May. 2018 |
STR
2 - 1
JWI
39%
25%
36%
|
77 | 69 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2018 |
JWI
1 - 0
SAN
61%
21%
17%
|
77 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2018 |
SAN
2 - 4
JWI
43%
25%
32%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | +2 |
| 14 May. 2018 |
BLO
1 - 3
JWI
34%
27%
39%
|
76 | 69 | 7 | -1 |
| 06 May. 2018 |
JWI
3 - 0
BLO
61%
22%
18%
|
75 | 70 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
The Strongest
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 May. 2018 |
STR
2 - 1
JWI
39%
25%
36%
|
69 | 77 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2018 |
STR
1 - 1
BOL
50%
23%
27%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2018 |
BOL
0 - 1
STR
54%
24%
22%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | +1 |
| 18 May. 2018 |
PEÑ
2 - 0
STR
68%
19%
14%
|
70 | 81 | 11 | -2 |
| 12 May. 2018 |
STR
5 - 1
OPE
54%
23%
23%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | +1 |