Jorge Wilstermann vs Royal Pari analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.6%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.1%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.5%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.4%
22%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.3%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
-18%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
21
2º
11º
7º
12
9º
16º
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
15º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
34 | 47 |
1º
|
90.5% | |
|
2º
|
29 | 40 |
2º
|
61.5% | |
|
7º
|
22 | 35 |
3º
|
16% | |
|
4º
|
23 | 34 |
4º
|
18% | |
|
3º
|
24 | 34 |
5º
|
17% | |
|
5º
|
23 | 34 |
6º
|
15.5% | |
|
|
9º
|
21 | 31 |
7º
|
8.5% | |
|
10º
|
20 | 30 |
8º
|
12.5% | |
|
6º
|
22 | 30 |
9º
|
9.5% | |
|
11º
|
19 | 30 |
10º
|
10% | |
|
8º
|
21 | 26 |
11º
|
15% | |
|
12º
|
17 | 25 |
12º
|
11% | |
|
13º
|
16 | 24 |
13º
|
20.5% | |
|
14º
|
13 | 23 |
14º
|
27.5% | |
|
16º
|
12 | 20 |
15º
|
32% | |
|
|
15º
|
12 | 19 |
16º
|
48% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
CONMEBOL Libertadores
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Jorge Wilstermann
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jul. 2024 |
JWI
0 - 1
ABB
62%
23%
16%
|
70 | 52 | 18 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2024 |
NAC
0 - 0
JWI
58%
22%
20%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2024 |
JWI
1 - 0
REA
44%
26%
29%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2024 |
BLO
3 - 0
JWI
37%
27%
36%
|
70 | 63 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2024 |
JWI
0 - 0
STR
42%
26%
32%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Royal Pari
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jul. 2024 |
ROY
2 - 1
BLO
41%
26%
33%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2024 |
ROY
2 - 2
IND
37%
25%
38%
|
62 | 66 | 4 | +1 |
| 23 May. 2024 |
ABB
0 - 3
ROY
33%
26%
41%
|
61 | 54 | 7 | +1 |
| 21 May. 2024 |
ROY
0 - 2
REA
31%
27%
42%
|
62 | 70 | 8 | -1 |
| 14 May. 2024 |
UDV
2 - 1
ROY
53%
25%
22%
|
62 | 69 | 7 | 0 |