Jorge Wilstermann vs Real Santa Cruz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.5%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.8%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.4%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.1%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.4%
18.1%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
12.4%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
-20%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
20
2º
11º
8º
12
15º
16º
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
15º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
31 | 45 |
1º
|
75.5% | |
|
2º
|
28 | 39 |
2º
|
48% | |
|
6º
|
22 | 35 |
3º
|
21.5% | |
|
4º
|
23 | 34 |
4º
|
14% | |
|
3º
|
24 | 34 |
5º
|
16% | |
|
5º
|
23 | 34 |
6º
|
12.5% | |
|
8º
|
21 | 32 |
7º
|
15% | |
|
|
10º
|
20 | 31 |
8º
|
15% | |
|
9º
|
20 | 30 |
9º
|
12.5% | |
|
11º
|
18 | 29 |
10º
|
10% | |
|
7º
|
21 | 26 |
11º
|
18% | |
|
12º
|
16 | 26 |
12º
|
18% | |
|
14º
|
13 | 24 |
13º
|
13.5% | |
|
13º
|
16 | 24 |
14º
|
18.5% | |
|
|
15º
|
12 | 20 |
15º
|
27% | |
|
16º
|
11 | 19 |
16º
|
41.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
CONMEBOL Libertadores
|
0.5% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
99.5% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Jorge Wilstermann
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
JWI
1 - 1
UDV
47%
27%
26%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
DGV
0 - 0
JWI
25%
28%
47%
|
70 | 40 | 30 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
JWI
3 - 0
GUA
53%
25%
22%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2024 |
AUR
0 - 0
JWI
51%
26%
24%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2024 |
BOL
2 - 0
JWI
60%
22%
19%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Real Santa Cruz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
SAC
1 - 0
ABB
52%
25%
23%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
DRT
2 - 1
SAC
58%
24%
18%
|
61 | 70 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
SAC
1 - 1
ROY
43%
25%
32%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
SAC
2 - 1
REA
29%
27%
44%
|
60 | 70 | 10 | +1 |
| 21 Aug. 2024 |
IND
3 - 0
SAC
57%
23%
20%
|
60 | 67 | 7 | 0 |